Now that i have decided to post my plays here often and on time, let me explain my style of play. You will rarely if ever, see plays from American sports. Simple, i dont follow them. Soccer is the main field of betting. Macedonian league is the main category of betting. French football follows, then all the major leagues. Analyzes will be given always, and always. NO EXCEPTION of this rule. Only an analyze proves that the bet is mine, and not just copied from somewhere. I will try to make short, but satisfying analyzes. If You have any questions, feel free to leave a comment.



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Renova are solid team and can be considered as favorites here but there's one fact that must not be neglected. Renova's stadium is suspended and the match will be played with no fans. That is definitely a big plus for this bet because it is a big fact that the hosts in the matches from Macedonia are always having a slight advantage. With this condiotions, I think we will see a tight game with two good teams probably more concentrated on defense and possible result 1:0.

Under 2,5 at 1.84 for 4/10 in Pinny.

Despite Cementarnica are last but one on the table, they are not that weak. They have a squad full of youngsters supported by two solid Brazilans that are able to make a surprise against any team especially when they are hosts. Pelister is a good team with high hopes for this season. What I expect from this match is a tight game with none team really dominating and possibly only one goal solving this match. I don't think we will see a great game, plus the stadium might not be in best condition and the weather might serve this bet.

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Please read the other comment. Odds too high to be missed.

Makedonija - Shkendija

These two teams out of nowhere became friendly. Couple of times in the past have drawn their mutual matches. That happened in the first match of the season, also. Makedonija are strong at home, but comparing to the first part of the season, they've lost couple of important players, and Shkendija strengthened the squad. The line is too big for Makedonija to be able to cover it. Even if we see Makedonija winning, I dont think it will be with a higher margin than 1 goal only. That means that with +1.25 we still win some. A tight game, draw is likely possible.

[b]Shkendija +1.25 at 1.91 in pinnacle for 5 units[/b]

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After long winter break the football is back in Macedonia. In the first round we have couple of interesting games and lets start with one over/under pick. In Kratovo, Sileks will be hosting the champions Pobeda.
Pobeda have lost some important players during the winter transfer period and have signed couple of new players. Sileks have more or less kept their squad. Since this is first game of the second part I dont think the teams will start pushing right from the beginning. Sileks will have 2 important attackers absent for this game, which is even bigger advantage for this bet. I believe both teams will try not to concede first. These odds are valuable in my eyes and I am willing to invest 8 units on under.

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Pick: <2.5, Odds: 1.98, Stake: 8, Bookmaker: Pinnacle

This seems like it should be an easy home win. However, we cannot take only the table in mind. Metz had one superb win over Strasbourg in the cup 0-3 away from home. It must be admitted they are playing bit better under their new coach. Looking in the past the games between them and Bordeaux have always been tight. Metz has already managed to win over Bordeaux once this season in the league cup 1-2. I am not saying that Metz will surprise here, but I am not excluding that as well .However Bordeaux is traeling to Belgium on Wednesday to meet Anderlecht in UEFA cup, and after having too many matches in the last days and an important one following, I am sure Blanc will rest some players and make some rotations. Furthermore, Rame and Planus are doubtful, Fernando and Jemalli are injured. Metz still has that lot problems, but I think they might be able to hold on at least to a tight game, and maybe lose with only 1 goal :)

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PSG - Le Mans

More or less, PSG have found their form and at least at home in their last 2 games, they were convincing and won 3-0 both games. They are hosting Le Mans today and Le Mans looked like they are in a free-fall but managed to return with a win over Monaco at home in the last round. Digard is the only injured player for PSG, with Pauleta back in action and the two new signings - the Brazilians Everton and Souza.

Le Mans are still without their important striker De Melo and defender Basa, while Romaric and Gervinho are still in Africa.

Normally, I wouldn't dare to touch these two very unpredictable teams in a mutual match, but I dare to say that I see PSG as favorites for winning this game. They are looking better, and at home can prove like an unsolvable task for Le Mans and hopefully manage to win 3 points. I will stay for a direct win and wont try to chase them on -0.75 because we are talking about PSG anyway :)

PSG at 1.85 in BetSafe for 4 units.

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Certainly not a bet Ill be taking it may times, but this time theres a value from the way I see this game. If odds on Monaco DNB had bee bigger, I would have immediately played it, but I am late for that offer, so Ill improvise. Le Mans are full of problems. Romaric, Gervinho and Camara in Africa, De Melo, Basa and Pele injured. The last game had at same time been 4th consecutive defeat for them. Monaco are winning lately, but have been winning some tight games, except against poor Metz. For this game they will miss Bernardi. Almiron is included in the squad for Monaco. However, there are a few doubts connected with the names of Piquionne, Meriem, Modesto... If any one of them doesn;t play that might be felt in the game. However, I dare to say that we might see Le Mans 5th consecutive loss which should come after a tight match, and hopefully with one goal difference :)

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Finally the day has came when it would be better to go on Auxerre, than on Nancy (talking about this season). Despite Auxerre had a nice performance against Caen in midweek, they only drew and every other rival won, so Auxerre found themselves again in the relegation zone. However, comparing it to th earlier rounds Auxerre have definitely improved and now it is their chance for one final getaway. Kahlenberg is back for the squad, while Jelen is not avaiable for this game.

Nancy's - what should we call it - downtrend maybe, is still obvious. They are far from their first half of the season games, and haven't noted a victory since 1st of December. They will once again be without the African four - Chretien, Zerka Hadji and N'Guemo, while Duchemin, Adailton and Macaluso are injured. Kim is fit but I don't think he will be at 100%.

To sum up, I believe it is time for AUxerre to win, yet they can be no long beleived, and I am choosing rather safer option.

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A very early call this one, but I think this should be the best bet for the French weekend. Team news are not fresh, but let's hope nothing significant will change. It is evident who are in-form here. Lens have won against Nancy 3-0, against Lyon 3-0, and against one of the better home teams Valenciennes 1-2. Strasbourg, on the other hand, from the last 4 games can only say that the last one against Toulouse was a rather good one. In that game they won 2-0, but after scoring the first, they concentrated on defending that lead, and only scored the second in dying minutes after a counter-attack.

I beleive that Lens will use the last 6 points from 2 games against tough opponents, and I just can't avoid this fabulous odds. I think we might see even 1.80 before the beginning, and 2.00 is just great. With a win Lens will climb even further on the table, and plus they have a game in hand. This is the best opportunity for them since who knows when, and I don't think they will squander it. Be careful, considering the odds on home win are about 2.00, at a certain point there might be a safe bet - combining with +0.5 on Strasbourg.

Good Luck...

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